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Was your housing market one of the 24 where relative home affordability improved in 4Q24? Check out our updated Home Affordability Study to find out!

Was your housing market one of the 24 where relative home affordability improved in 4Q24? Check out our updated Home Affordability Study to find out!

Today's Mortgage Rates - 02/21/2025

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Mortgage Rates Slide Slightly

Mortgage rates were modestly lower this week.

As reported by Freddie Mac today the average offered interest rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) declined by two basis points (0.02%) this week, landing at 6.85%. This rate has declined for five straight weeks, falling by a cumulative 19 basis points over that time..

Average offered rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages moved downward slightly more, decreasing by five basis points (0.04%) to 6.04%. Like its longer-term counterpart, this average rate has actually moved in a narrow range for some weeks now but is down nearly a quarter percentage point from its 2025 peak.

A 5/1 ARM might offer a homebuyer a lower-cost alternative to a long-term fixed-rate mortgage, and the difference in rate between 30-year FRMs and 5-year hybrid ARMs expanded somewhat this week. The Mortgage Bankers Association said that the initial fixed interest rate on a hybrid 5-year ARM fell by twelve basis points (0.12%), settling back to 6.08%. The increase here enhanced the slight downward move by its long-term fixed-rate cousin and then some, widening the gap in rate back to seventy-seven basis points (0.77%). This may be considerable enough to entice some winter homebuyers to select an ARM as their choice of financing, as there may be some savings to be had by doing so.

Inflation concerns pressed the yields which most influence mortgage rates higher for much of last week, but a soggy report on January retail sales pulled them back down again. A Monday market holiday and fairly light calendar of new economic data allowed that decline to carry into this week, helping mortgage rates to ease slightly.

Investors also didn't find any surprises in the minutes from the January Fed meeting. No change to policy happened at that time, but the minutes revealed no specific concerns regarding the months-long firm trend for inflation, and the broad economy and labor markets were judged to be in good shape. At his post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Powell noted "the broad sense of the Committee, actually, is that we don’t need to be in a hurry toadjust our policy stance," and this sanguine sentiment was quite evident in the text.

A contented Fed and economic data that balances increases and decreases in bond yields seems likely to help keep mortgage rates level to slightly lower again over the next few days.

Each week in HSH's MarketTrends newsletter, we track and discuss economic conditions that affect mortgage rates and their impact on housing markets and consumers. Read the most recent edition of MarketTrends or subscribe for email delivery.

Week 30-year-Fixed 15-year-Fixed
02/20 6.850% 6.040%
02/13 6.870% 6.090%
02/06 6.890% 6.050%
01/30 6.950% 6.120%
01/23 6.960% 6.160%
01/16 7.040% 6.270%
01/09 6.930% 6.140%
01/02 6.910% 6.130%
12/26 6.850% 6.000%
12/19 6.720% 5.920%
12/12 6.600% 5.840%
12/05 6.690% 5.960%

Mortgage Choices at a Glance

Loan type/terms Fixed 30 years Fixed 15 years/
20 Years
Hybrid ARM Traditional ARM Balloon Mortgage
Rate changes
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Usually after fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years
  • After that, annual change typical
  • Fully variable
  • Typically changing at one-year intervals
  • Some have shorter change intervals
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
Benefits
  • Low, stable payment
  • Usually easiest qualification
  • Stable payments
  • Builds equity faster
  • Lower total interest costs than 30-year term
  • Lower rates than fully fixed-rate mortgage
  • Can sometimes borrow larger loan amount for same income
  • Can have lowest interest rates
  • Qualification may not depend upon today's interest rate
  • Often has lower interest rate/monthly payment over balloon period than fixed rate
  • Similar to hybrid ARM
Drawbacks/Risks
  • Can have highest total interest cost over time
  • User may "buy" more rate stability than actually needed, increasing cost
  • Requires higher income to qualify
  • Less affordable monthly payment
  • Funds commited to payment cannot be used elsewhere
  • Stable payment for a number of years, then unpredictable
  • Rates can jump by as much as 6 percentage points at first adjustment
  • Payments fluctuate at each rate change
  • Unpredictable, rates can change as much as 2 percentage points at each adjustment
  • Loan fully due and payable when balloon period ends
  • Must be paid off or refinanced in unknown market conditions
Alternative strategy
  • Consider Hybrid ARM with appropriate fixed period
  • Consider 30-year term and prepaying loan to preserve cash-flow flexibility
  • Consider Fixed rate mortgage or longest possible fixed period, if loan hold period not known
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ameliorate rate and payment risks for a given period
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ensure continued loan availability
These may be useful for...
  • Purchasing a home
  • First-time homebuyers
  • Refinancing to improve cash flow/lower payment
  • Refinancing to lower total interest cost
  • Retiring mortgage more quickly
  • Building or rebuilding equity more quickly
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is seven years or shorter, and where borrower can handle increase in monthly payments
  • Purchasing or refinancing when interest rates are near top of cycle, and are likely to fall, or sale or refinance is anticipated within three years
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is three years or longer and home will be sold prior to end of balloon period
Consider if
  • Buying or refinancing a home and planning on owning for longer than 10 years
  • Buying second home
  • Refinancing to build equity
  • Paying off mortgage before life event (retirement, etc)
  • Buying a home and expect to move before fixed period ends, or know income will rise to offset payment risk, even in worst-case scenario
  • Buying or refinancing when income can handle frequent payment changes and worst-case scenario for rates over a four-year period
  • Buying a home and expect to move before balloon period ends, or have resources to pay off mortgage if refinance not available
When shopping, ask about
  • "Full cost" vs. "No cost" refinances, prepaying loan to shorten term if desired
  • If 20-year term makes payment too high, whether 25-year term is available
  • Interest rate caps, for first and subsequent adjustments, worst-case scenario
  • A history of the Index the loan is keyed off, margin and caps
  • Whether or not there is any built-in refinancing option when the balloon period ends
Useful tools & resources

Latest Mortgage Rate Analysis

HSH's longer-range outlook for mortgage rates, where we review our last forecast,discuss current market influences and provide our expectations for mortgage rates over the next nine weeks.

Mortgage Calculators

Mortgage rates and more

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